Trump Predicts Iran War Will End After November Midterms

Former US president Donald Trump said on Wednesday that the war with Iran would not finish until after the United States’ midterm elections on 3 November. He added that oil prices would not drop until then.

During a speech before the Republican Party’s first midterm convention in Austin, Texas, Trump told reporters the conflict would end "immediately after the election because they can’t hold out any longer." He linked the end of hostilities to a fall in fuel costs.

The president’s remarks come as the cost of oil has spiked—$100 a barrel for the first time since July—due to escalated fighting in the Middle East, attacks on oil installations, and increased naval activity. The dispute has already lowered Trump’s approval rating and intensified pressure within his own party to find a quick resolution.

Trump also hinted that Iran is desperate to try and influence the election to sustain a weak Congress that would allow it to keep its nuclear ambitions. He offered no evidence for this claim, and Iran has repeatedly denied pursuing nuclear weapons.

While Trump talked about the conflict’s closure, he said that further negotiations are possible but not currently a priority. He suggested that oil prices would tumble as soon as the U.S. won the war with Iran.

The midterm elections pose a high stake for the Republican Party, which could lose its majority in Congress if voters shift power to the opposition. In this context, the president’s rhetoric may be aimed at energizing the party’s base ahead of the vote.

The war has already heated up after a 60‑day ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran expired last month, with both sides striking maritime targets in the Strait of Hormuz and supporting factions in Yemen. These events reinforce concerns that fuel costs and war‑related inflation could push the U.S. economy toward higher interest rates.