In brief
Decision Desk HQ and a cluster of U.S. media outlets forecast that Democrats will gain a majority in the House of Representatives as the midterm elections approach. The projection, reported by Xinhua and Kyodo, precedes the November 3 vote and hints at a significant change in Washington’s legislative balance.
In its latest update, Xinhua reported at 10:24 a second‑day forecast that the Democratic Party is projected to take control of the U.S. House of Representatives, a claim made by election‑forecasting agency Decision Desk HQ ahead of the November 3 midterm vote. The news broke in Washington and signals a potential shift in congressional power after four years of Republican control.
Earlier that day, Xinhua sent a second briefing at 10:14 noting that similar early projections also anticipate a Democratic majority, underscoring a crescente consensus among forecasters.
Kyodo News added that a chorus of U.S. media outlets project that the House will go to the Democrats, framing the outcome as a referendum on President Biden’s administration. The projection is part of a broader reporting trend that highlights the high stakes of the upcoming election.
These forecasts come from a variety of analytical sources, including Decision Desk HQ, and reflect current polling and polling data used by the forecasting community. All outlets, including Xinhua and Kyodo, characterize the predictions as preliminary and note that the actual election results are pending the November 3 vote.

